September 29 report:
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Today’s Value (2026.09.28) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.09.27) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | 146.67 | -6.67 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | -70 | -120 | + |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | -223.33 | -203.33 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The three second-order differences changed in the same direction as the previous day—(+, +, -)—indicating a strong rebound within a choppy market (bullish, of a rebound nature).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current ABS price trend in China is range-bound (with a bullish bias). Reason: The 5-day average difference and the 10-day average difference have increased compared to yesterday, while the 20-day average difference has decreased. The directions of change for these three are not completely unified, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. This situation is considered a bullish rebound within a consolidation range.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
On the 60-day timeframe, ABS prices are in the fourth tier (mid-to-high range); on the three-month timeframe, they are in the fifth tier (high range); and on the one-year timeframe, they are in the third tier (mid-range). In the short term, prices remain relatively high, with limited upside; over the medium to long term, they are at a mid-level, leaving room for some volatility.
5. Trend Chart Display
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
