The latest average data shows that the DOP price is currently in a strong consolidation phase with a bullish bias. The price over a 1-year period is in the middle range, while the 60-day cycle is at a high level. The short-term upside may be constrained by the high levels, and the overall market trend is oscillating but with a stronger bias. Attention should be paid to the operating rates and quotation changes in the upstream and downstream sectors in China.
I. Table of Average Deviation Changes
| Mean Difference Indicator | Today's Value (2026-08-16) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-15) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | 10 | 30 | - |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | 52.5 | 50 | + |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 20.83 | 6.25 | + |
II. Signal Status Determination
The current mean difference change direction combination is (－, ＋, ＋), which is a strong consolidation (bullish) signal.
III. Conclusions on Trend Directions
The price trend is oscillating (with a bullish bias). Reason: The 5-day average difference has narrowed compared to yesterday, while the 10-day and 20-day average differences have widened. The changes in these three average differences are not entirely consistent, which fits the criteria for an oscillating trend. Combined with the (-, +, +) symbol combination, it is determined to be a strong consolidation state with a bullish bias.
4. Spatial Reference
60-day cycle price position: high, with limited short-term upside potential;
Price positioning for the 3-month cycle: Median, with some room for volatility;
1 year cycle price position: median, with relatively balanced upside and downside potential in the medium to long term.
V. Chart Display
VI. Upstream and Downstream Dynamics Reference
Recent fluctuations in quotations from some Chinese companies: From August 11-12, multiple companies increased their DOP quotations by 50-100 CNY/ton. On August 13, Dongying Yimeide Chemical reduced its quotation by 50 CNY/ton, with actual transaction prices stabilizing. The current upstream related products are n-octanol, phthalic anhydride, and 2-ethylhexanol, while the downstream product is PVC plasticizer. It is necessary to pay attention to the impact of the operating rates and quotations of the upstream and downstream sectors on the DOP market.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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