August 17 news
On August 16, 2026, the epoxy chloropropane market in China showed a fluctuating trend, with the market sentiment leaning towards a weak rebound (bearish). The trends of various period differences were divergent: the 5-day difference slightly increased, the 10-day difference remained unchanged, and the 20-day difference declined, with no clear signals of a one-sided rise or fall. The price levels across different cycles exhibited divergent characteristics: the annual cycle had limited downward space, the short-term monthly cycle was balanced between rises and falls, and the 60-day cycle had restricted upward potential. Overall, the market displayed significant features of fluctuation and consolidation. I. Data on Changes in Mean Differences This statistics cover the three core mean difference indicators of 5 days, 10 days, and 20 days, comparing today's data with yesterday's data and the trend of change. The specific changes are shown in the table below:
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-16) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-15) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -40 | -80 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -160 | -160 | No change |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -70 | -40 | - |
2. Market Signal Status Judgment The current epichlorohydrin market in China is experiencing fluctuating conditions. Considering the changes in the average differences across various periods and the characteristics of the market, the overall trend is leaning towards a weak rebound (bearish) pattern. The strength of the short-term rebound is limited, and the bearish sentiment has not completely dissipated, with no clear signals of a reversal. III. Overall Trend Direction Conclusion Today's market core trend is determined to be consolidation. The specific logic is as follows: the 5-day average difference has recovered from -80 yesterday to -40, showing a recovery trend; the 10-day average difference remains at -160, with no change in the medium-term trend; the 20-day average difference has dropped from -40 yesterday to -70, indicating a weakening of the medium to long-term indicators. The changes in the three core average difference indicators are not completely consistent, and the market's bullish and bearish forces are in balance. The conditions for a unilateral upward or downward trend signal are not met, so the current market situation is mainly characterized by consolidation. 4. Multi-cycle Price Position and Spatial Reference From the analysis of price positions at different time periods, the market's rise and fall show a clear divergence: 1. 1-year long cycle: The price is in the medium to low range, with strong support below, and the overall room for further decline is relatively limited, making the downside risk in the Chinese market controllable. 2. 3-month mid-cycle: Prices are in the middle range, with relatively balanced long and short positions. The short-term upside and downside potential are symmetrical, with no clear advantage for a unilateral trend. 3. 60-day short cycle: The price is in the mid-high range, with significant pressure from above. The space for further short-term increases is strongly limited, and there is considerable resistance to a rebound. 5. Trend Chart Display
