September 2nd news
The current natural rubber spot price is in the high range in recent years, showing a strong rebound and a predominantly volatile trend in the short term. The reduction in supply supports the price, but there is no significant positive news on the demand side, and high prices limit the upward space. Subsequently, attention needs to be paid to fluctuations in the futures market and changes in the downstream operating rates.
Data Explanation
The latest available data on natural rubber in China is up to September 1, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data for the most accurate information.
Mean Difference Change Table
| Average Difference Type | Value as of September 1, 2026 | Value as of August 31, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 118.34 | 93.33 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 167.49 | 153.33 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 325.00 | 327.92 | - |
Signal status determination
The current average difference change combination is (+, +, -), which belongs to a strong rebound (bullish, rebound nature) signal.
Trend Direction Conclusion
The current trend in natural rubber prices is volatile with a bullish bias. Reason: The directions of the three average differences compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for a volatile trend, and the corresponding signal is a strong rebound, indicating a clear bullish attribute.
Location spatial reference
Natural rubber 1-year cycle price is at the 5th level (high position) of the 5-level scale, with limited upside potential and increased risk of a pullback from the high position.
1 year trend chart display
Fundamental reference
Spot Market: On September 1st, the natural rubber market in the Qingdao region of China was consolidating at high levels. The Shanghai rubber futures were oscillating at high levels, and spot merchants made minor adjustments to their offers. For 24-year Yunnan Treasure/Guangken/Haibao, the main quotes were 180,000~182,000 CNY/ton; for 25-year Yunnan Treasure/Guangken/Haibao, the main quotes were 181,000~183,000 CNY/ton; for Vietnam 3L, the main quotes were 188,000~189,500 CNY/ton.
Supply side: The ANRPC July 2026 report forecasts that global natural rubber production in July will decrease by 5.2% year-on-year to 1,321,000 tons, and the cumulative global natural rubber production for the first seven months will decrease by 2.3% year-on-year to 7,426,000 tons. In the first seven months of 2026, Thailand's total exports of natural rubber (excluding compound rubber) amounted to 1,419,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 11%. The contraction in supply has provided support for prices.
On the demand side: In the first seven months of 2026, global natural rubber consumption totaled 8.759 million tons, down 1.6% year-on-year. There is currently no significant increase in demand, and the market’s ability to absorb higher prices remains limited.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
