August 19 news
On August 19, 2026, the ethanol market trend in China was mixed and volatile. According to the rules of average difference, the directions of the three average differences were not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for volatility; among them, the 10-day average difference rebounded from the previous day, showing a positive correction. Although some companies lowered their spot prices, the 60-day and 3-month cycle prices were at low levels, and some plant maintenance provided certain support to supply, giving the price a resilient attribute.
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-18) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-17) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -2.66 | 0.00 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -14.23 | -17.78 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -20.16 | -18.06 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The changes in the three differences compared to the previous day are not completely consistent, indicating a volatile state. The combination of signs is (-, +, -), corresponding to a resilience warning (biased towards bullish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term price trend is volatile (leaning bullish). Reason: According to the mean deviation rule, the directions of change in the three mean deviations are not entirely consistent, thus meeting the criteria for a volatile market. Specifically, the 10-day mean deviation has rebounded from the previous day, showing positive recovery. Meanwhile, although spot prices have seen price cuts in some regions, prices over the 60-day and 3-month periods remain at low levels. Moreover, plant maintenance activities at facilities such as Hongzhan Huanan, Hongzhan Jixian, and Xinjiang Tianye provide certain support to supply, giving prices resilience against further declines.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day cycle price is at a low level, with limited room for decline;
The 3-month cycle price is at a low level, with strong support below.
The 1-year cycle price is at the median level, and there is still some room for fluctuation overall.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
