[Key Insight] The methanol market is experiencing a short-term, bearish, weak rebound with sideways fluctuations. Currently, it’s trading near the upper end of the 60-day cycle, leaving limited room for further upward movement and lacking any clear, sustained drivers for continued price increases.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of August 27, 2026 | Value as of August 26, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | -74.67 | -100.00 | + |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | 14.83 | 44.92 | - |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 126.96 | 132.58 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current signal is a weak rebound (bearish).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is one of range-bound fluctuations, for the following reason: The three moving averages showed varying directions (+, -, -) compared to the previous day, with their directions not fully aligned. This pattern meets the criteria for identifying a range-bound trend and represents a weak rebound with a bearish bias.
4. Location and Spatial Reference
The short-term (60-day cycle) methanol price in China is in the mid-high range, with relatively limited room for further increases; the medium-term 3-month cycle is in the mid-low range, and the long-term 1-year cycle is in the mid-range.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
(Source: China)
