This analysis employs the mean difference method to conduct a professional assessment of the DOP spot price trend. Currently, the DOP’s operational signal is a warning of stagnation and overbought conditions (leaning bearish). The overall market is experiencing volatile fluctuations, with prices hovering near the high range seen over the past three months. Upward momentum is limited, and the market should be vigilant about the risk of a pullback from these elevated levels.
The latest available data is up to August 27, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Mean Difference Indicator | Today’s Value (2026.08.27) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.08.26) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | 56.66 | 28.33 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | 106.67 | 126.67 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 239.59 | 224.59 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current combination of mean difference change signs is (+, -, +), corresponding to the following signal: Stagflation Alert (Bearish).
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The current price trend is oscillating (with a bearish bias).
Reason: The changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day periods do not consistently follow the same direction as the previous day, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. Therefore, it is determined to be a volatile trend, with an additional signal of a stagnation warning, indicating an overall bearish attribute.
Recent market dynamics have validated that from August 24-25, DOP producers in China generally raised their quotes by 50-100 CNY/ton. From August 26-27, leading companies in Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and other regions began to lower their quotes by 50-100 CNY/ton, with actual transaction prices following suit. This is consistent with the bearish trend indicated by the average price difference signals.
4. Spatial Reference
Price 5-tier position judgment: The price over 60 days and a 3-month period is in the 5th tier (high), with limited room for further increase; the price over a 1-year period is in the 4th tier (mid-high), indicating that the current price level is relatively high, lacking sufficient momentum for further upward movement, and carrying a higher risk of decline.
V. Chart Display
VI. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
(Source: China)
