This analysis, based on the method of mean difference, shows that the current spot price of heavy soda ash is in a state of fluctuation, with a trend of being more resistant to decline. The price changes over the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are not entirely consistent, and all are at low levels, leaving very limited room for further decline. There is strong long-term support for an upward trend. Fluctuations in the prices of upstream industrial salt and raw salt, as well as changes in demand from downstream sectors such as glass, baking soda, and various phosphates, will directly impact the future trend of soda ash in China.
I. Data Explanation
The latest available data is up to August 31, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Indicator | Today’s Value (2026.08.31) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.08.30) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 0.00 | 0.00 | Flat (close to -) |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -1.14 | -1.43 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -0.86 | -0.72 | - |
III. Signal State Determination
The current three mean differences do not completely align in direction, with the sign combination being close to (－, ＋, －), which is a resilience warning (biased towards bullish) signal.
Four, Conclusions on Trend Directions
The current trend for heavy soda ash is volatile (with a bias towards being resistant to decline). The rationale for this judgment is that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day average differences from the previous day are not entirely consistent, which meets the criteria for a volatile trend according to the average difference method. Additionally, the combination of symbols matches the characteristics of a decline resistance warning (with a bias towards being resistant to decline).
Five, Position and Spatial Reference
The prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all in the first tier (low range), with limited downside potential and ample room for upward movement over the long term.
Six, 1 Year Price Trend Chart
Seven, Reference of the Industrial Chain in China
- Upstream commodities: industrial salt, raw salt
- Downstream products: Compound alkali, anhydrous sodium acetate, baking soda, anhydrous calcium chloride, trihydrate sodium acetate, sodium bromide, sodium bisulfite, sodium fluoride, sodium nitrate, sodium hexametaphosphate, sodium tripolyphosphate, sodium nitrite, sodium hypochlorite, sodium metabisulfite, bromine, xylitol, aluminum oxide, disodium hydrogen phosphate, trisodium phosphate, cryolite, baking soda, water glass, glass, borax
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
