September 2nd, according to the news,
This gasoline spot price trend is based on the latest public data, incorporating a mean difference analysis framework, price tiers, and fundamental supply and demand factors, as well as cost considerations. The current gasoline price is in a clear upward trend. Although it is at a high level over a one-year period, it has strong short-term cost support. Caution is needed regarding the risk of price fluctuations due to potential policy changes, such as exemptions for biofuels.
Gasoline Price Market Report Daily
I. Data Description
The most recent data currently available is as of September 1, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data for the latest information.
II. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Value as of Sep 1, 2026 (CNY/ton) | Value as of Aug 31, 2026 (CNY/ton) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 234.77 | 184.94 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 93.26 | 56.67 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 203.57 | 198.17 | + |
III. Signal Status Determination
Currently, the three differences are all changing in the same positive direction, which is a clear signal of an increase.
IV. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current trend of gasoline prices is clearly rising. The reason for this judgment is that the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day average differences compared to the previous day have all shown positive growth, and the direction of change for all three is completely consistent, meeting the criteria for a clear upward trend according to the average difference method.
Five, Position and Spatial Reference
Gasoline prices in China for 60 days, 3 months, and 1 year are all in the 5th tier (high, corresponding to the top 20% price range within the respective periods), indicating limited room for further increases in the long term.
6. Trend Chart Display
VII. Fundamental Reference
Cost-side support: Recently, international crude oil futures have generally performed strongly. On August 31, the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures was reported at $85.76 per barrel, up 2.8%; the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures was reported at $90.49 per barrel, up 2.7%. The rise in upstream crude oil prices has provided strong cost support for gasoline.
Policy-side benefits: On August 28, China's refined oil price adjustment window opened, resulting in the eleventh increase in retail prices for the year, driving up spot market quotes. Gasoline prices from refineries in the northeastern and northwestern regions of China have risen for several consecutive days.
Potential disruptive factor: If the Trump administration’s policy to double the biofuel exemption quota for small refineries is implemented, it could put downward pressure on gasoline prices. Continued monitoring of policy developments is necessary.
Eight, Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
