This analysis is based on the mean difference analysis framework, combining the latest factory quotations and cyclical price data to assess the short-term market trend of 2-ethylhexanol: The current mainstream factory quotation range for 2-ethylhexanol in China is 8,700-9,100 CNY/ton. In the short term, the market shows a strong rebound with a bias towards fluctuation, but the prices are in a high range across multiple cycles, limiting the upside potential. Market participants need to be cautious of the risks associated with high-level fluctuations.
I. Latest Fundamental Price Quote Explanation
As of September 1, 2026, the quoted prices from China's leading isooctanol manufacturers are as follows:
Shandong Hualu Hengsheng (annual production 200,000 tons, plant operating normally): factory price 9100 CNY/ton, up 200 CNY/ton from the previous trading day.
Shandong Lihuayi (annual production 140,000 tons): factory price 8700 CNY/ton, up 100 CNY/ton from the previous trading day.
LUXI Chemical (annual production 380,000 tons, plant operating normally): Quoted price on August 31 was 8,700 CNY/ton, a decrease of 200 CNY/ton from the previous trading day.
The latest available data is up to September 1, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of September 1, 2026 | Value as of August 31, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | 40 | -60 | + |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | -40 | -46.67 | + |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 171.66 | 206.67 | - |
3. Signal Status Judgment
The current mean difference change symbol combination is (+, +, -), which belongs to a strong rebound (bullish, rebound nature) signal.
IV. Trend Direction Conclusions
The short-term trend is biased towards bullish, with the rationale being: the directions of the three average differences compared to the previous day are not completely consistent, which is characteristic of a consolidation range. Combined with the symbol combinations, it is determined to be a strong rebound trend with a bullish bias.
V. Positional Spatial Reference
Isobutanol prices for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles in China are all at the 5th level (high position) out of 5 levels, with limited room for further increases.
6. 1-Year Trend Chart Display
VII. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
(Source: )
