As of the latest spot data on September 10, 2026, the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day average difference changes for heavy soda ash in China are (-, +, +), indicating a strong consolidation with a bullish trend. The price is currently in the lower range of the past year's cycle, with limited downside potential. Coupled with the high cost support from upstream industrial salt prices, there is a possibility of a valuation rebound in the future.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Indicators | Today’s Value (2026.09.10) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.09.09) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 1.72 | 2.29 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 0.57 | 0.28 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -0.29 | -0.57 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (－, ＋, ＋), which belong to a strong consolidation (bullish) signal.
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The current price trend is oscillating (with a bullish bias). The rationale for this judgment is that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving average differences from the previous day are not entirely consistent, which meets the criteria for an oscillating trend. Additionally, the combination of signs (-, +, +) corresponds to the signal characteristics of a strong consolidation with a bullish bias.
4. Positional and Spatial Reference
Prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles are all in the first tier (low level), leaving limited room for further declines and ample room for subsequent upward recovery.
5. Trend Chart Display
VI. Fundamental Support Reference
Cost side: The prices of upstream industrial salt in China over 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all at high levels, providing strong cost support for soda ash. 2. Demand side: Downstream coverage includes anhydrous calcium chloride, sodium hexametaphosphate, borax, glass, and many other categories, with stable support from rigid demand.
VII. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
