September 24th report:
【Core View】 1,4-Butanediol is showing a strong consolidation trend with a slight upward bias in the short term. It is currently in a high range across multiple cycles, with limited room for further short-term increases. The support from upstream raw material costs and downstream demand for PTMEG and PBT is strong, making a significant decline unlikely.
The most recent available data is up to September 23, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Difference Type | Value as of 2026.09.23 | Value as of 2026.09.22 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 222.66 | 263.33 | - |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 217.42 | 194.17 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 329.96 | 288.75 | + |
2. Signal Status Determination
The current situation is a strong consolidation (bullish) signal in a volatile market.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is choppy (slightly bullish).
Reason: On the 5th, 10th, and 20th days, the direction of change in the mean difference was not entirely consistent with that of the previous day, conforming to the oscillating‑market criteria under the mean‑difference method; the sign combination is (−, +, +), indicating a strong, slightly bullish consolidation signal. From a fundamental perspective, stable upstream prices for calcium carbide and maleic anhydride provide solid cost support, while steady demand release in downstream sectors such as PTMEG and PBT keeps the overall trend firm.
4. Positional Space Reference
Over 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year timeframes, the price of 1,4-butanediol remains in the fifth tier—its highest level—leaving limited room for short-term gains. Supported by cost factors and demand, downside potential is also relatively constrained.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
