October 9th News
[Key Takeaway] Methanol is currently staging a strong short-term rebound, leaning bullish. However, with prices at elevated levels across multiple timeframes, upside potential is limited, and investors should remain vigilant about the risk of a pullback from these highs.
The latest available data is up to October 8, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value on 2026-10-08 | Value on 2026-10-07 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | 192.00 | 0.00 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | 18.17 | -16.50 | + |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 150.33 | 175.33 | - |
2. Signal Status Determination
The current signal is a strong rebound (bullish, rebound in nature).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term price trend is range-bound with a bullish bias, for the following reasons:
Three differences in direction are not completely consistent, failing to meet the conditions for a unilateral rise/fall, and the overall situation is in a fluctuation range.
On the 5th and 10th, the day‑to‑day price differentials both turned positive from negative, indicating ample short‑term upward momentum. Premiums at auctions in major producing regions and upward revisions in some companies’ quoted prices are providing strong support to near‑term prices.
The 20-day average difference has slightly declined, indicating that the momentum for a mid-term rise has somewhat weakened. Currently, the overall operation of the industry's facilities in China is stable, and there is no significant gap on the supply side, so the price does not have the foundation for a continuous and substantial increase.
4. Positional Space Reference
Methanol prices for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all in the 5th tier (high), with limited short-term upside potential and a high risk of a pullback from the current high levels.
5. 1 Year Trend Chart
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
