October 10th, according to reports
Key Takeaway: In the short term, methanol is exhibiting a strong rebound with volatile, bullish price action. Supply-side tightening provides support for higher quotes, but given that prices are at cyclical highs and demand remains weak, upside potential is limited.
The latest available data is up to October 9, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Mean Difference Variation Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026-10-09 | Value on 2026-10-08 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference | 234.67 | 192.00 | + |
| 10-Day Difference | 62.67 | 18.17 | + |
| 20-Day Difference | 132.50 | 150.33 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
Currently, this is a strong rebound signal (leaning bullish, of a rebound nature).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The price trend is oscillating (with a bullish bias). Reason: The direction of change in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving average differences from the previous day is not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for an oscillating trend. The symbol combination is (+, +, -), indicating a strong rebound with a bullish bias. From a fundamental perspective, increased maintenance of methanol plants in China, weaker import expectations from Iran, and low port inventories provide support to prices on the supply side. However, high spot prices are squeezing downstream profits, leading to mostly on-demand purchases by downstream players. Supply and demand are in a phase of negotiation, and there is no clear momentum for a unilateral price increase.
4. Positional Space Reference
60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices are all in the 5th tier (high), with limited short-term upside potential. If subsequent imports recover or demand remains weak, there is a possibility of a price correction.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
