This analysis is based on the DOP spot price data up to October 13, 2026. Using the method of mean difference, it is concluded that the current DOP is in a strong consolidation phase with a bias towards short-term volatility, with prices in the high range over the past year, and the upside potential is relatively limited. This is for reference by industry participants in China.
I. Table of Average Deviation Changes
This calculation uses the official average data from October 12, 2026, and October 13, 2026, in China. The specific changes in the three averages are as follows:
| Difference Type | Value on October 13, 2026 | Value on October 12, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 61.67 | 106.67 | - |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 148.33 | 142.5 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 117.25 | 105.21 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current combination of changes in the three differences from the previous day is (－, ＋, ＋), which aligns with the characteristics of a strong consolidation (bullish) signal in China.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current DOP price trend is oscillating (with a bullish bias). The reason for this judgment is that the directions of the three mean differences compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear uptrend or downtrend, thus placing the overall trend in an oscillation zone. At the same time, the combination of changes falls under a strong consolidation type, indicating a short-term bullish bias.
4. Spatial Reference
Over the past year, DOP prices have remained in the fifth tier of the five‑tier pricing structure—i.e., the upper range—with limited room for further increases.
V. Price Trend Chart for the Past Year
VI. Data Explanation and Risk Warning
Data Note: The most recent data available as of October 13, 2026, is provided; please refer to real-time data for the latest information.
Risk Warning: The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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