October 19th report:
[Key Takeaway] 1,4-Butanediol is expected to remain in a high‑range trading pattern in the short term. Current prices are at absolute highs across multiple timeframes, and with both supply and demand remaining stable, there is limited momentum for significant near‑term price swings.
The most recent available data is up to October 18, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Difference Type | Value on October 18, 2026 | Value on October 17, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 0.00 | 0.00 | No Change |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 11.67 | 20.00 | - |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 65.83 | 70.00 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
Weak-range fluctuation (bearish bias).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
Volatility. Reason: The three moving averages did not all change in the same direction as the previous day, failing to meet the criteria for a clear uptrend or downtrend; thus, the market is characterized by choppy trading. On the fundamentals front, high prices for upstream raw materials—maleic anhydride and formaldehyde—continue to support costs, while downstream demand in sectors such as PBAT and PTMEG remains steady but shows no significant increase in volume. Amid ongoing supply‑demand dynamics, prices have remained broadly stable, with quotations unchanged for two consecutive days, leaving no clear directional bias at this time.
4. Positional Space Reference
The 1,4-butanediol prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles are all in the fifth tier (high range), leaving limited room for further increases. With cost support below, the pullback is expected to be relatively mild.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
