August 14th, News
According to the SpotCom AI assistant, the recent Chinese 180CST fuel oil market has maintained a consolidation trend, with quotations in the Qingdao area showing minor fluctuations. Based on the analysis of average difference indicators and price levels, the current price is in a volatile pattern. Given its position at a high level within a 1-year cycle, subsequent trends will need to closely monitor changes in the crude oil industry chain and market supply and demand conditions.
Fuel Oil 180CST Price Trend Daily Report (2026-08-14)
I. Recent Market Performance Review
From August 10 to 13, 2026, the ex-warehouse low-sulfur fuel oil 180CST quote in China remained within the range of 5,800–6,400 CNY per ton. Quotes in the Qingdao region showed slight fluctuations: on August 10, the quote was 6,700 CNY per ton (down 50 CNY per ton from the previous day); on August 12, the quote rose to 6,750 CNY per ton (up 50 CNY per ton from the previous day). Overall market conditions were mainly characterized by consolidation.
II. Analysis of the Mean Difference Index
Difference Table of Means
| Mean Difference Indicator | Today's Value (2026-08-13) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-12) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | 15 | 13.75 | + |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | -8.75 | -15 | + |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | -18.13 | -18.13 | No Change |
Signal status determination
The directions of the three average differences are not completely consistent (the 5-day and 10-day average differences increased compared to yesterday, while the 20-day average difference remained the same as yesterday), indicating a volatile market. Considering the changes in the average differences, this is categorized as a strong rebound (bullish, with a rebound nature).
Trend Direction Conclusion
The price trend is oscillating, reason: the 5-day and 10-day average differences have increased compared to yesterday, while the 20-day average difference has not changed. The directions of the three average differences are not completely unified, which meets the criteria for an oscillating market.
III. Positional Spatial Reference
The price is at the 4th level (mid-high) of the 1-year cycle price position in China, with limited upside potential and some room for downward adjustment.
IV. Price Trend Chart
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
