September 1st News
As of August 31, 2026, the Chinese PVC spot market has shown a strong short-term rebound. In key consumption areas such as Linyi and Zibo in Shandong, prices have moved upward significantly, driven by the rising futures market. Spot quotations have followed suit, with daily price increases generally exceeding 100 yuan. The current mainstream pick-up/offer range for calcium carbide method 5-type PVC is 4,650-4,700 CNY per ton. Market trading sentiment has improved, and transactions are moderate. Dealers are mostly quoting higher prices, and some holders prefer to negotiate on a case-by-case basis. From the perspective of the price cycle position, PVC's 60-day short cycle is already at a high price level, the 3-month cycle is at a medium-high level, and the 1-year cycle is still at a medium-low level.
1. Mean Difference Variation Table
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026.08.31) | Yesterday's Value (2026.08.30) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 163.4 | 23.4 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 21.1 | -11.1 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -7.35 | -16.0 | + |
2. Signal status determination
Clearly indicate an upward signal
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is clearly upward. Reason: The changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day are all positive, and their directions are completely consistent, meeting the criteria for a clear upward trend. Additionally, on August 31, the PVC spot market in Linyi and Zibo, Shandong, China, saw a general increase in quotes following the rise in futures, with price increases exceeding 100 yuan. Trading was decent, providing fundamental support for the short-term upward trend.
4. Position Space Reference
60-day short cycle price is in the 5th tier (high position), with limited room for further short-term increases; the 1-year cycle is in the 2nd tier (middle to low position), indicating there is still room for long-term growth.
5. Trend chart display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
