September 3rd, according to the news,
Based on the latest PVC spot price data as of September 2, 2026, the current PVC price is in a strong consolidation phase with a bias towards strength. Over a 1-year cycle, the price is at a medium to low level, providing a foundation for long-term upward movement. In the short term, due to the high levels of the 60-day and 3-month cycles, the momentum for further increases is limited. It is recommended to closely monitor changes in the prices of upstream materials such as calcium carbide and ethylene, as well as the release rhythm of terminal demand from downstream products such as profiles and pipes in China.
I. Data Description
The most recent available data is up to September 2, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Changes in Mean Differences
| Average Difference Type | Value as of September 2, 2026 (CNY/ton) | Value as of September 1, 2026 (CNY/ton) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 163.00 | 166.00 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 91.90 | 59.20 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 18.30 | 4.50 | + |
III. Signal Status Determination
The current combination of signs for the three successive differences is (–, +, +), which constitutes a strong consolidation (bullish) signal.
IV. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current PVC price trend is judged to be oscillating (with a bullish bias). The reason is that the changes in the three average differences from the previous day are not entirely consistent, which meets the criteria for an oscillating trend. Coupled with more signals of strong consolidation, the overall trend is biased towards strength.
Five, Position and Spatial Reference
60-day cycle: The price is at the 5th level (high), with limited short-term upside potential;
3-month cycle: Prices are in the 5th tier (high range), putting upward pressure on the medium-term trend;
1 year cycle: The price is in the 2nd tier (lower-middle), with some potential for long-term increase in China.
6. Price Trend Over the Past Year
Seven, Reference of Industrial Chain Associations
Upstream commodities in the PVC industry chain: chlorine gas, dichloroethane, vinyl chloride, calcium carbide, and ethylene.
Downstream products in the PVC industry chain: PVC foam, PVC automotive parts, cables, wires, shoe soles, PVC profiles, toys, PVC pipes, synthetic leather, PVC sheets, and PVC films.
VIII. Risk Disclosure
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
