September 8 news
As of September 7, 2026, the spot operation of PVC is in a stagnant warning (bearish) fluctuation state. In the short term, the prices for 60-day and 3-month cycles are already at high levels, with limited upward momentum. The 1-year cycle is still at a medium to low level, indicating some potential for upward movement in the medium to long term. Relevant parties in the industry chain can reasonably arrange production and business plans based on changes in supply and demand.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Value on 2026.09.07 | Value on 2026.09.06 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 54.00 | 47.00 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 112.00 | 132.00 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 132.10 | 106.60 | + |
Note: The latest available data is up to September 7, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Signal State Determination
The current three differential change direction combinations are (+, -, +), corresponding to a stagflation warning (bearish) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend is oscillating, reason: the change in direction of the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day average differences from the previous day is not entirely consistent, which meets the criteria for an oscillating trend according to the average difference method.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
PVC price tiers by cycle:
60-day cycle is in the 5th gear (high position), and the 3-month cycle is in the 5th gear (high position), with limited short-term upside potential.
1 year cycle is in the 2nd tier (lower-middle), and there is still some room for upward movement in the medium to long term.
V. Price Trend Chart for the Past Year
Six, recent spot market dynamics in China
Chinese Market: On September 4, 2026, spot PVC prices in the Linyi and Zibo regions of Shandong Province showed a noticeable upward trend, driven by the rise in futures prices. The mainstream quotation range for the calcium carbide method Grade 5 product reached 4,960–5,020 CNY per ton; however, transactions at higher price levels remained sluggish, and market sentiment was heavily characterized by a wait-and-see attitude. On September 3, affected by a pullback in futures prices, spot PVC quotations in the Zibo region had fallen by around 50 CNY per ton.
In terms of imports and exports: On September 4, CFR China PVC spot quotes rose by $30 to $840 per ton; CFR India PVC increased by $10 to $850 per ton; and CFR Southeast Asia PVC remained unchanged at $760 per ton.
7. Reference for upstream and downstream of the industrial chain
Upstream products: chlorine, dichloroethane, vinyl chloride, calcium carbide, ethylene
Downstream products: PVC foam, PVC auto parts, cables, wires, shoe soles, PVC profiles, toys, PVC pipes, artificial leather, PVC sheets, PVC films
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
