September 8 news
As of September 7, 2026, the spot price of natural rubber followed a significant increase in futures, with the mainstream grades in the Qingdao region seeing a single-day price increase of over 400 CNY per ton. The RU2701 futures contract reached a new high in nearly two years, and downstream tire companies, driven by cost pressures, have initiated their third round of price increases for the year. Based on mean reversion analysis, the current natural rubber is in a strong rebound and bullish interval, with the one-year cycle price at a high level. Future upward potential will depend on the trend of futures and the strength of downstream demand.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of September 7, 2026 | Value as of September 6, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | 373.33 | 40.00 | + |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | 57.50 | -6.67 | + |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 214.58 | 231.25 | - |
II. Signal Status Determination
The current mean difference change combination is (+, +, -), which constitutes a strong rebound (bullish, rebound nature) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend is oscillating with a bullish bias: the directions of the three differences compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. Overall, it falls within an oscillating range, with a strong rebound signal (+, +, -) indicating a bullish bias.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
Natural rubber prices for 60 days, 3 months, and 1 year cycles are all in the 5th tier (high range). The room for further increases is limited, and there is a need to be cautious of the risk of a pullback from the high levels.
V. Fundamental Reference
On September 7, 2026, the spot market for natural rubber in the Qingdao region saw a significant price increase. The volatile upward trend in Shanghai rubber futures prompted spot traders to substantially raise their quoted prices: For 2024-year Yunbao/Guangken/Haibao grades, the mainstream quotes ranged from 18,400 to 18,550 CNY per ton; for the same grades from 2025, the mainstream quotes were 18,500 to 18,650 CNY per ton; and for Vietnamese 3L grade, the mainstream quotes were 19,000 to 19,200 CNY per ton. The daily price increase in the spot market reached as high as 6.45%. Meanwhile, raw material prices in Thailand’s production areas also rose in tandem: On September 2, the price of latex increased by 0.5 Thai baht per kilogram to 78.5 Thai baht per kilogram, providing cost support for spot prices. Under continued cost pressures downstream, tire companies have initiated the third price hike of the year, with mainstream price increases for all-steel tires reaching 2% to 3%.
6. Trend Chart Display
VII. Risk Warning
The latest available data is up to September 7, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data. The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
