September 7 news
Recently, the PVC spot price in China has shown clear fluctuations following the futures market. In early September, it exhibited a trend of first rising, then falling, and finally recovering. Currently, based on the average difference indicator and the price levels across different periods, it is judged that in the short term, PVC is in a bearish correction phase with limited upward momentum at its current high price. However, there is still some room for upward movement in the long term. This can serve as a reference for operators along the PVC industry chain in China.
Note: The latest available data currently dates back to September 6, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data for the most up-to-date information.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Mean Difference Indicator | Today (2026.09.06) Value | Yesterday (2026.09.05) Value | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | 47.00 | 76.00 | - |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | 132.00 | 148.70 | - |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 106.60 | 78.90 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current mean difference change symbol combination is (-, -, +), which belongs to a deep callback (biased towards bearish, with the nature of a callback) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend is oscillating, reason: the change directions of the three averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend, and aligns with the characteristics of a deep correction signal in an oscillating market.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
Over a 60-day and 3-month period, prices are in the 5th tier (high range), leaving limited room for short-term upside.
1 year cycle price is in the 2nd tier (lower middle), with limited long-term downside.
Five, the trend chart of the past 1 year in China
Six, Recent Market Dynamics in China
On the Chinese spot market: On September 1-2, futures prices fluctuated and rose, prompting spot prices to follow suit. In the Linyi and Zibo regions, quotes for PVC grade 5 produced via the calcium carbide method generally increased by 20–100 CNY/ton. On September 3, futures prices reversed course, leaving spot prices without support, and quotes in both regions fell by 30–50 CNY/ton on average. On September 4, futures prices surged strongly, driving spot prices higher once again; dealers’ quoted prices rose by more than 100 yuan compared to the previous trading day. In the Linyi region, mainstream quotes for PVC grade 5 produced via the calcium carbide method ranged from 4,970 to 5,020 CNY/ton, while in the Zibo region, mainstream ex-factory prices were between 4,960 and 5,000 CNY/ton. However, market sentiment remained cautious at higher levels, and transactions remained sluggish.
At the import and export end: During the week of September 4, CFR China PVC spot offers rose by $30 to $840 per ton; CFR India PVC prices increased by $10 to $850 per ton; and CFR Southeast Asia PVC remained unchanged from the previous week at $760 per ton.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
