September 16 news
Recently, several EVA manufacturers in China have collectively raised their factory prices. The firm prices of upstream raw materials provide strong cost support. Currently, EVA prices are at a high level in the short term and at a medium to low level in the long term. The overall signal indicates that the market is in a strong consolidation phase, with a generally bullish trend.
Core analysis content after correction
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Indicator | Today (2026.09.15) Value (CNY/ton) | Yesterday (2026.09.14) Value (CNY/ton) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 250.00 | 333.34 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 143.34 | 125.00 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 128.33 | 95.83 | + |
II. Signal Status Determination
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (－, ＋, ＋), which belong to a strong consolidation (bullish) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend is biased towards an uptrend within a range-bound market. Reason: The direction of change for the three differentials compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent, and the overall market remains in a range-bound state. However, the 10-day and 20-day differentials have been continuously rising, indicating sufficient bullish momentum after a short-term adjustment. Additionally, the recent collective increase in factory prices by manufacturers in China and strong upstream cost support contribute to an overall bullish trend.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day cycle: Level 5 (high), with limited short-term upside potential.
3-month cycle: Level 5 (high), with limited upside potential at the quarterly level.
1 year cycle: Tier 2 (lower-middle), with some upside potential in the medium to long term.
5. Trend Chart Display
VI. Recent Market Developments Supplement
On September 14, 2026, the EVA factory price of V5120J in Jiangsu Hongjing, China, was increased by 700 CNY/ton to 10,800 CNY/ton.
On September 14, 2026, the price of EVA at Ningxia Baofeng’s factory—2825R—was raised to 10,050 CNY per ton.
On September 14, 2026, the ex-factory price of EVA at Ningbo Taishih Plastic Industry was raised by 300 CNY/ton to 11,850 CNY/ton;
On September 14, 2026, the EVA factory prices for UL00628 and UL2806 from Lianhong New Materials in China were both increased by 700 CNY/ton to 11,500 CNY/ton.
On September 14, 2026, the EVA factory price for UE2806 at Jiangsu Sailun Petrochemical was increased by 700 CNY/ton to 11,300 CNY/ton.
The EVA market in the Shanghai region has seen a slight increase, with downstream inquiries based on demand. The firm raw material prices have supported the upward trend in merchant offers. The mainstream price for Formosa 7470M in Ningbo is 10,750 to 10,850 CNY per ton.
Data Explanation and Risk Disclosure
The latest available data is up to September 15, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
