September 16 news
[Key Insight] In the short term, 1,4-butanediol is showing a strong, consolidating, and slightly bullish trend. Cost-side support remains robust, but prices across multiple timeframes are already at high levels, limiting further upside potential.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026.09.15) | Yesterday's Value (2026.09.14) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 255.00 | 340.00 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 90.83 | 54.17 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 170.42 | 164.16 | + |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current mean difference change combination is (-, +, +), which is a strong consolidation (biased towards bullish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is one of volatility (slightly bullish). Reason: The directions of change in the three moving averages are not entirely consistent with each other compared to the previous day, failing to meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend; hence, the market is classified as volatile. Moreover, upstream raw material prices—such as maleic anhydride, calcium carbide, and formaldehyde—remain at high levels, providing strong cost support. Meanwhile, downstream demand in sectors like PTMEG and PBT remains stable, keeping prices relatively firm in the short term.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
1,4-butanol prices for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all in the 5th tier (the highest 20% range within the cycle), at a high level. The potential for further increases is very limited, and if subsequent demand fails to follow up, there is a possibility of a pullback after reaching a peak.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
