September 20th report:
[Key Takeaway] In the short term, methanol is exhibiting a choppy, bearish rebound; current prices are near one-year highs, leaving limited room for further gains.
The latest available data is up to September 19, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Average Difference Type | Today’s Value (CNY/ton) | Yesterday’s Value (CNY/ton) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Average Difference | 10.00 | 47.00 | - |
| 10-Day Average Difference | 121.50 | 110.50 | + |
| 20-Day Average Difference | 225.88 | 252.13 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (-, +, -), which is a rebound (biased bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current trend is oscillating (with a bearish bias), reasoning: the changes in the three averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, not meeting the criteria for a clear uptrend or downtrend, indicating a bearish rebound within an oscillation range. Fundamentally, although there is support from tighter supply in Southeast Asia and a decline in imports, the expectation of increased production from Chinese facilities and high prices suppressing downstream demand means there is no clear short-term momentum for a one-sided increase.
4. Location and Spatial Reference
Methanol prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all at high levels, corresponding to the 5th tier out of 5 tiers, with limited room for further increases and a possibility of a subsequent correction.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
