September 22 report:
[Key Takeaway] In the short term, 1,4-butanediol prices are on a clear upward trend and are trading strongly at elevated levels.
【Data Explanation】 The latest available data is up to September 21, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Mean Difference Variation Table
| Type of Average Difference | Today’s Value (September 21, 2026) | Yesterday’s Value (September 20, 2026) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Average Difference | 376.67 | 306.67 | + |
| 10-Day Average Difference | 180.00 | 165.84 | + |
| 20-Day Average Difference | 252.08 | 215.41 | + |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current situation is a clear signal of an increase.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is clearly upward. Reason: The 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages all exhibit the same directional change as the previous day, and all three are positive, satisfying the moving-average method’s criteria for identifying an uptrend. Furthermore, upstream raw material prices—formaldehyde, calcium carbide, and maleic anhydride—are all at elevated levels, providing strong cost-side support. Meanwhile, downstream sectors such as PTMEG and N‑methylpyrrolidone demonstrate steady, rigid demand-driven procurement. With both supply and demand underpinning prices, the market is trending firmly higher.
4. Position and Spatial Reference
1,4-butane diol 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices are all in the 5th tier (high price range) out of 5 tiers. The space for further significant increases in the short term is limited, and there is a need to be cautious of the risk of a high-level correction.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
