The current DOP short-term trend is volatile but bullish (with a strong rebound nature). In the past two days, mainstream Chinese production companies have collectively raised their quotes, and the short-term market stocking sentiment is relatively strong. However, the prices for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all at historically high levels, limiting the upside potential. The upstream raw materials, 2-ethylhexanol and phthalic anhydride, are showing weak trends, resulting in insufficient cost support. It is recommended to closely monitor the release of downstream PVC plasticizer demand and changes in raw material prices.
The latest available DOP data is up to September 29, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026-09-29 | Value on 2026-09-28 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 82.17 | 47.34 | + |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | -25.92 | -63.59 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | -32.29 | -0.62 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
Strong Rebound (Bullish, Nature of Rebound)
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend for DOP is choppy but tilted bullish, based on the following: the directional changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages are not entirely consistent from the previous day, with a sign combination of (+, +, -), which meets the signal‑detection criteria for a strong rebound (bullish bias, rebound‑type).
4. Positional Space Reference
Prices for the DOP 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles are all at the fifth tier (high levels), leaving limited room for further gains; caution is advised regarding the risk of a pullback after a rally.
5. Upstream and Downstream Fundamental Reference
Upstream: Both isooctanol and phthalic anhydride have been trading weakly recently, providing insufficient cost support for DOP.
Downstream: Mainly corresponds to the demand for PVC plasticizers, with current demand showing stability and no significant signs of increase.
Factory quotations: On September 29, mainstream DOP producers in China collectively raised their prices by 100-200 CNY/ton, with a strong short-term market stocking sentiment.
6. Trend Chart Display
7. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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