October 27 report:
As of October 26, 2026, the spot price of PVC in China continued to rise, with all core indicators showing positive changes, clearly signaling an upward trend. In the short term, the price is at a high point in the 60-day cycle, and the risk of chasing highs has increased. However, over a 1-year cycle, the price is still at a moderate level, and there is still support from supply and demand in the medium term. The spot market shows a willingness to follow the increase, but overall, the trading activity remains cautious.
I. Table of Finite Differences (Data as of October 26, 2026)
| Average Difference Type | Value on 2026.10.26 | Value on 2026.10.25 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Average Difference (D5) | 139.60 | 33.00 | + |
| 10-Day Average Difference (D10) | 90.80 | 82.00 | + |
| 20-Day Average Difference (D20) | 60.55 | 37.50 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current three differences are all positive and have increased from the previous day, which is a clear signal of an upward trend.
III. Conclusions on Trend Directions
The current PVC price trend is clearly increasing, with the judgment based on the following: According to the mean difference rule, the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day mean differences compared to the previous day are all in the same direction and are all positive, meeting the criteria for a clear increase.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day cycle: Price is at the 5th tier (high level), with limited short-term upside; be wary of downside correction risks at higher levels.
3-month cycle: Price is in the 5th tier (high range)
1 year cycle: The price is at the 3rd tier (median), and there is still some room for movement in the medium term.
Five, Price Trend Chart of the Past 1 Year in China
Six, the current fundamental situation of the Chinese market
Market Quote: On October 26, 2026, PVC prices in the Linyi region remained firm. Following a sharp rally in the futures market, prices edged lower, with spot prices following suit. Dealers raised their offers by 50–80 CNY per ton compared to the previous trading day, with mainstream quotations for the calcium carbide‑based Grade 5 product ranging from 5,150 to 5,200 CNY per ton.
Plant start-ups: The Zhongyan Inner Mongolia PVC plant is operating at full capacity, the Shandong Lutai unit is gradually resuming operations, and the Shandong Xinfafa unit has resumed production at 80% capacity, resulting in a relatively stable overall supply.
Upstream–downstream coordination: In the upstream segment, calcium carbide prices have been trending weaker recently, while downstream demand is largely driven by rigid procurement. Market sentiment remains cautious, and overall trading activity has been moderate.
Risk Warning
The most recent available data is up to October 26, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
