Affected by the epidemic, dye prices have been at historically low levels for a long time this year. Among them, the price of disperse dyes is at a low point in the past three years, and the price of reactive dyes is at a low point in the past 10 years. But after entering August, these two categories of dyes have gone out of the opposite market: the price of reactive dyes is still hovering at a low level, and the long-depressed disperse dye market has begun to enter the upward channel.
On August 8, disperse dye manufacturers raised their ex-factory prices. Among them, disperse blue SE-2R200%, disperse red jade SE-2GF200%, and disperse red jade S-5BL100% have higher price adjustments.
All parties analyzed that the main reason for this round of disperse dye price increases is raw material support. From the perspective of the growth rate, the three leading varieties of Disperse Blue SE-2R200%, Disperse Red Jade SE-2GF200%, and Disperse Red Jade S-5BL100% are all downstream products of m-phenylenediamine.
M-phenylenediamine is an important intermediate of various azo dyes. According to public information from the dye e-commerce company Qi Caiyun, the price of m-phenylenediamine has risen rapidly recently. It was 60,000 yuan (ton price, the same below) on July 10, and rose to 65,000 yuan on July 20. Increased to 70,000 yuan.
In addition to the promotion of environmental protection, there are two reasons for the increase in the price of disperse dyes this round.
One is the strengthening of expectations for price increases. In the first quarter, the profits of dyestuff companies fell sharply; in the second quarter, most dye companies started to lose money. The tremendous pressure of a substantial decline in performance has prompted the expected increase in product prices of listed companies to strengthen.
The second is the decrease in dye inventory. From June to July, the price of disperse dyes was at the bottom in recent years, and printing and dyeing companies and distributors stock up, causing the inventory levels of large manufacturers such as Longsheng and Runtu to be at a record low. In addition, affected by the loss, small-scale disperse dye manufacturers were in a state of suspension or semi-stop production in the second quarter, which also led to a decrease in the supply of disperse dyes.
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