On August 10, 2026, the DOP spot price continued its downward trend, with the average difference indicator sending a clear signal of decline. Considering the position of the price in different cycles, the short-term downward momentum still exists. It is necessary to continuously monitor the impact of changes in the start-up and quotation of the upstream and downstream industries on the market trend.
1. Mean Deviation Change Table
Difference Type Today (2026-08-10) Value Yesterday (2026-08-09) Value Direction of Change
5-day average difference (D5) -7.5 16.67 -
10-day average difference (D10) -5 0.83 -
20-day average difference (D20) -21.25 -12.5 -
2. Signal Status Determination
Clearly declining
3. Conclusion on Trend Directions
Decline. Reason: The daily changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages all showed negative directions, and the three moving averages were completely aligned in their direction of movement—meeting the “clear decline” signal criteria under the moving average difference method. This was corroborated by concurrent spot market data: on August 10, Shandong Shengfeng Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted a DOP execution price of 8,705 CNY/ton, down 50 CNY/ton from the previous day, with actual transaction prices falling in tandem.
4. Position Space Reference
The DOP 1-year cycle price is at the median (within the 40%-60% range of the cycle), the 60-day cycle price is also at the median, and the 3-month cycle price is in the lower-to-mid range. The median range implies that there is potential for both upward and downward price movements; however, currently, clear bearish signals are dominant, and short-term downward momentum is strong.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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