US Gulf Coast thermal coal may see another export window
The Baker Hughes US oil rig count jumped 21 rigs to 498 on Friday -- the biggest single-week rise since July 2015 and one which likely occurred because of oil prices that stayed mostly above $50/b in the wake of a much-applauded OPEC agreement.
In addition, oil rigs in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico, the US' most active basin, jumped by 11 to 246, Baker Hughes said in its weekly rig count.
Also, oil rigs in the DJ-Niobrara Basin of Colorado rose by six to 24, and Eagle Ford oil rigs in South Texas increased by three to 37.
Analysts noted the days previous to the rig count jump comprised the first full week after OPEC agreed late last month to cut production by 1.2 million b/d to boost oil prices out of the $40s/b where they have been largely been stuck for the past eight months.
"I think this may be a post-OPEC flush, or an acceleration forward of next year's rig demand growth," Evercore analyst James West told S&P Global Platts.Details of the OPEC accord, which are still to be mapped out, will take effect in January.
Oil prices have been below $70/b since roughly December 2014, after OPEC agreed not to prop up falling prices that had fallen from the $100/b level earlier that year. Since that time, prices sank further and fell below $27/b briefly in each of January and February 2016.
But as oil prices gradually rose afterward and hit the mid-$40s, oil companies began to add rigs, particularly in the Permian Basin where opportunities are vast and producers say economics are strong.
At the same time that oil prices stabilized at that level, oil operators that had tinkered with new well drilling and completion techniques and tackled efficiencies for the previous year and a half had lowered their drilling costs to profitable levels. Their work paid off with the result that drilling became profitable at oil prices in the mid-$40s/b to $50/b.
The rig count "is starting to react to prices and the high investment interest in the Permian," James Williams, president of WTRG Economics, said. "Also, you can lock in most of 2017 and 2018 [production] at almost $55 per barrel."
In Evercore's annual Global E&P Spending Outlook for 2017, released on Friday, West said upstream operators have "rushed" to lock in future cash flows through hedging since OPEC's November 30 agreement.
West said a large part of the independent oil companies that Evercore covers are currently 31% hedged.
"That should move north of 50%" by early next year," he said in a Friday webinar to present results of the global spending survey.
"Increased hedging activity provides a base forward of activity if oil does give back some gains, but 50% hedged next year wouldn't be too much above average," he added. "We see continued upside to activity and spending, assuming oil price cooperation."
Even though drilling activity typically slows around the US holiday season from mid-November until year-end, shale operators, particularly in larger basins such as the Permian and DJ-Niobrara, have made acquisitions in recent months and have said they want to head into 2017 full blast.
Evercore's Global E&P Spending Outlook found North American upstream operators plan to increase spending by 21% next year and US operators by an average 25%.
US oil-directed rigs hit a recent bottom of 316 during the last week of May.
2026-09-27
Trade Alert
Delivering the latest product trends and industry news straight to your inbox.
(We'll never share your email address with a third-party.)
Related News
-
Procter & Gamble Posts Higher Profits on Strong Personal Care Sales and Recovery in China
-
China National Salt Industry Corporation Advances 10,000 t/y Sodium Metal Expansion Project, Industry Leader Invests Nearly RMB 100 Million
-
Henkel's Acquisition of Stahl Enters Regulatory Countdown: Will the €2.1 Billion Deal Go Through?
-
BASF Ludwigshafen Workforce Falls Below 30,000, Lowest Level in 72 Years
-
DyStar Becomes a Wholly-Owned Subsidiary of Zhejiang Longsheng Group, Ending Longstanding Shareholder Disputes with a $5 Billion Deal
-
Wanhua Chemical's 240,000-ton/year Iron Phosphate Project Approved
-
Pharmaceutical State-Owned Enterprise Acquires Leading Pesticide Company for RMB 5.656 Billion, Betting on Synthetic Biology Industrialization
-
BASF Brings Biomass-Balance Polyols to North America
-
Henkel to Acquire Olaplex in $1.4 Billion Deal
-
Due to Supply Chain Disruptions, A Major MDI/TDI Facility in the Middle East has Suddenly Shut Down!
Recommend Reading
-
BASF and Hannong Chemical Joint Venture Nonionic Surfactant Plant Begins Operation in South Korea
-
5%–10% Is Just the Surface: Behind Dow’s Greater China Price Letter Lies a Global Repricing of Silicones
-
Novo Nordisk Sounds the Alarm: Growth Headwinds Loom Over Global Operations in 2026
-
Nylon Giant to Close Another European Plant, Cutting 140 Jobs
-
argenx to Acquire Forte Biosciences for $2.2 Billion in Major Autoimmune Antibody Deal
-
Premium Global Chemical Sourcing Requests (3-5July, 2026)
-
March adipic acid prices see a significant increase in China
-
DMF Primarily in Oscillating Mode; Upside Potential Limited
-
How Geopolitical Conflicts in the Middle East Ignite the Melamine Market with a Monthly Price Increase of Nearly 27% in China!
-
Domestic SBR Market Shows Strong Unilateral Increase