August 12 news
Recently, the spot price of ammonium sulfate has seen a pullback. Through mean difference analysis, the current ammonium sulfate is in a deep correction state within a volatile market. Considering its low price position over a 1-year cycle, the room for further decline may be limited by support. It is necessary to continuously monitor the supply and demand changes in the upstream and downstream sectors of the industry chain in China.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Indicator | (2026.08.11) | (2026.08.10) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -5.00 | 0.00 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 5.34 | 11.34 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 17.83 | 14.83 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current mean difference change direction combination is (－, －, ＋), which belongs to a deep correction (bearish, corrective nature) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The price trend is oscillating. Reason: The directions of the three differences from the previous day are not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend, and thus falls within the scope of an oscillating market. Additionally, it currently exhibits characteristics of a deep correction with a bearish oscillation.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
The price of ammonium sulfate in China over a 1-year period is in the middle to low range. Being in the middle to low position means that the downward space is relatively limited, and there may be some support during the correction process. There is still potential for further upward movement.
5. Trend Chart Display
Six, Supplementary Market Dynamics
On August 11, 2026, the latest ex-factory quotation for caprolactam-grade ammonium sulfate from Luxi Chemical in Shandong, China, was 1,170 CNY per ton, a decrease of 30 CNY per ton from August 7; Hualu Hengsheng's caprolactam-grade ammonium sulfate loose material quotation was 1,160 CNY per ton, a decrease of 20 CNY per ton from August 10, while the power plant-grade ammonium sulfate quotation remained stable at 965 CNY per ton. Actual transactions are mainly based on negotiations.
Risk Warning The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
