September 4th news
This report is compiled based on the latest urea spot price data as of September 3, 2026, using mean difference analysis to objectively assess short-term urea price trends and operating ranges. It provides a neutral market reference for upstream and downstream industry clients and traders in China.
Corrected core analysis content
I. Data Description
The latest available data is up to September 3, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Indicator | (Sep 3, 2026) | (Sep 2, 2026) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -1.00 | -1.50 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -1.50 | -1.75 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 1.75 | 2.87 | - |
III. Signal Status Determination
The current mean difference change symbol combination is (+, +, -), which belongs to a strong rebound (bullish, rebound nature) signal.
IV. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend is oscillating, reason: the change directions of the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, and do not meet the criteria for a clear upward/downward trend.
Five, Position and Spatial Reference
Urea 60-day and 3-month cycle prices are in the 1st tier (low), with limited room for decline; the 1-year cycle price is in the 3rd tier (medium), with relatively balanced potential for increase or decrease.
VI. 1-Year Trend Chart Display
VII. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
