September 17th, according to the news
Recently, supported by the fluctuating upward trend in international crude oil prices, gasoline quotations from Chinese independent refineries have been continuously raised. The current gasoline price is at a high point within the past year. The differential signal indicates that the current situation is a weak rebound with a bearish oscillation pattern, suggesting limited room for further increases. Market participants need to pay attention to the subsequent impact of international crude oil trends and China's refined oil control policies.
The latest available gasoline data for China is up to September 16, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data. The following is the specific analysis:
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Today's Value (2026.09.16) | Yesterday's Value (2026.09.15) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | 34.28 | 19.71 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | 168.22 | 213.32 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 277.33 | 284.30 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current average difference change combination is (+, -, -), which belongs to a weak rebound (bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current trend in gasoline prices is volatile, for the following reason: The three moving averages showed inconsistent directions of change compared to the previous day, failing to meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend.
4. Position Space Reference
The current gasoline price in China is at the 5th tier (high level) for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods, with limited room for further increase.
5. Trend chart display
6. Fundamental Support Reference
The recent escalation of U.S.-Iran tensions has continued to push international crude oil prices higher. On September 15, the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures stood at $108.75 per barrel, representing a price increase of 2.9%. China’s refined oil price adjustment took effect on September 11; influenced by temporary regulatory measures, the retail price of gasoline was effectively raised by 260 CNY per ton. On September 16, gasoline quotes from independent refineries in Northeast and Northwest China both rose slightly. Upstream cost pressures remain strong, but current prices have already reached historically high levels. It is crucial to closely monitor subsequent regulatory policies and developments in crude oil prices.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
