September 18th News
[Key Insight] Ethanol is currently in a predominantly bearish, oscillating pattern following a pullback. Its price is hovering within the median range of the past year and three months. After a short-term consolidation phase, the likelihood of a stronger upward trend is relatively high. In the medium to long term, supported by upstream raw material prices and downstream demand for new energy sources, ethanol has the potential to move higher.
The latest available data is up to September 17, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026.09.17) | Yesterday's Value (2026.09.16) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 3.77 | -1.00 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 11.06 | 15.72 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 25.11 | 23.42 | + |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current signal is a pullback (bullish), which aligns with the characteristics of a bullish oscillation pattern (+, -, +) in China.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current trend is biased towards an uptrend with volatility. The reason is that the changes in the three average differences from the previous day are not completely consistent, and there is no clear unilateral increase or decrease signal where all three are positive or negative. Overall, it is in a consolidation phase. Coupled with the support of rising overseas ethanol prices and the gradual recovery of downstream demand in China, the trend is biased towards an uptrend.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
The 60-day cycle price of ethanol is in the 4th tier (upper-middle), while the 3-month and 1-year cycle prices are in the 3rd tier (middle). The short-term fluctuation space is relatively balanced, and in the medium to long term, it has a certain upward potential due to the cost of upstream raw materials and the demand from downstream areas such as methyl ethyl carbonate and ethanol gasoline in China.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
