September 24th report:
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of 2026-09-23 | Value as of 2026-09-22 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | 22.50 | -22.5 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | 2.50 | 1.25 | + |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 15.62 | 16.25 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current combination of sign changes in the mean differences is (+, +, -), which constitutes a strong rebound signal (bullish, of a rebound nature).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current melamine price trend in China is fluctuating. Reason: The direction of change in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day differences is not entirely consistent with that of the previous day, thus failing to meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend.
4. Positional Space Reference
Over the past 60 days and within a three-month cycle, prices are in the fourth tier (mid-to-high range), leaving relatively limited room for further short-term gains.
The 1-year price is in the second tier (mid-to-low range), and in the long term, there is limited downside risk.
5. Trend Chart Display
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.