September 28 report:
[Key Takeaway] Ethanol is currently in a short-term, bearish‑biased rebound phase, with prices hovering around the midpoint of the one-year cycle, limiting upside potential in the near term.
The latest available data is up to September 27, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Type of Mean Difference | Today’s Value (2026.09.27) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.09.26) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference | 8.00 | 12.00 | - |
| 10-Day Mean Difference | 8.00 | 6.67 | + |
| 20-Day Mean Difference | 12.75 | 14.13 | - |
2. Signal Status Determination
The current average difference change combination is (-, +, -), which belongs to a rebound (bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current trend in ethanol prices is oscillating (with a bearish bias), due to the fact that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for an oscillating trend, which aligns with the characteristics of a bearish rebound.
4. Positional Space Reference
The price of ethanol in a 1-year cycle is at the 3rd tier (median), with relatively balanced potential for increases and decreases; the 60-day cycle is at the 5th tier (high), and the 3-month cycle is at the 4th tier (moderately high), indicating limited room for further short-term increases.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
