September 29 report:
According to the SpotCom AI assistant, as of September 28, 2026, monitoring data shows that the price of petcoke is under short-term pressure, with clear signals indicating a downward trend. The current price is in the high range of the nearly 1-year cycle, and the room for further increases is limited. It is recommended to closely monitor the crude oil price trends upstream and the demand changes in downstream industries such as steel and graphite electrodes in China.
Data Explanation
The latest available data is up to September 28, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
I. Monitoring of Mean Difference Changes
| Difference Type | Value on September 28, 2026 | Value on September 27, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | -34.00 | 2.00 | - |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 24.25 | 40.50 | - |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 101.75 | 104.87 | - |
II. Market Signal Determination
Signal Status: Clear Downtrend Signal
Trend Direction Conclusion: The current trend in petcoke prices is downward. Judgment Reason: The changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day average differences compared to the previous day are all in the same negative direction, meeting the criteria for a clear downward trend according to the average difference method.
III. Price Position and Reference for Upside and Downside Potential
The current petroleum coke prices for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all in the 5th tier (high position) of a 5-tier classification, indicating limited room for further increase and a high risk of a price drop from the high level.
IV. Latest Market Developments
Spot market: On September 28, 2026, the Dongfang Hualong Group in Shandong quoted a price of 1,600 CNY/ton for shot coke, a decrease of 50 CNY/ton from the previous trading day; Guangrao Zhenghe Petrochemical Co., Ltd. quoted a price of 3,950 CNY/ton for petroleum coke, a decrease of 50 CNY/ton from the previous trading day. Spot market manufacturers' quotes generally decreased, indicating short-term supply pressure.
Upstream–downstream linkage: Upstream Brent crude oil is currently trading in a mid-to-high range, providing some cost support for petroleum coke; downstream, anhydrous aluminum chloride remains at low price levels, while glass prices are at a mid-range, and overall terminal demand is weak, resulting in insufficient upward pressure on petroleum coke prices.
V. 1-Year Price Trend Chart
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
