October 10th report:
Key Takeaway: In the short term, 1,4-butanediol is trading in a bearish‑biased rebound pattern, with prices near multi‑cycle highs. As cost support weakens and demand remains subdued, the risk of a further pullback is elevated.
The most recent available data is up to October 9, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026-10-09 | Value on 2026-10-08 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference | 40.00 | 53.33 | - |
| 10-Day Difference | 13.33 | 6.66 | + |
| 20-Day Difference | 294.79 | 356.88 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
Currently, this is a pullback (bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The price trend is range-bound (bearish). Reason: The day‑to‑day changes in the 5‑day, 10‑day, and 20‑day moving averages are not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for a ranging market; the sign sequence is (–, +, –), indicating a corrective rally with bearish bias. Fundamentally, upstream calcium carbide prices have weakened, easing cost‑side support, while downstream demand in sectors such as PBAT and PTMEG remains insufficient. Under this supply‑demand dynamic, prices currently lack clear upward momentum.
4. Location and Spatial Reference
60 days, 3 months, and 1 year cycle prices are all in the 5th tier (high), and the short-term upside potential has been largely exhausted, with a significant possibility of a subsequent correction.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
