October 13th News
[Key Takeaway] In the short term, 1,4-butanediol is in a choppy, bearish rebound phase, while its full-cycle price remains at a high level, suggesting a relatively high probability of downward pressure going forward.
Data Explanation
The most recent available data is up to October 12, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026.10.12 | Value on 2026.10.11 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference | 40.00 | 53.33 | - |
| 10-Day Difference | 55.00 | 40.00 | + |
| 20-Day Difference | 195.21 | 224.79 | - |
2. Signal Status Determination
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (-, +, -), which belong to a rebound (biased bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current price trend is biased towards a downward oscillation. Reasons: The change in direction of the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving average differences from the previous day is not entirely consistent, which meets the criteria for an oscillating trend. Overall, it is in a rebound phase that is biased towards a decline. Fundamentally, the prices of upstream raw materials such as calcium carbide have weakened, and demand in downstream sectors like PTMEG and PBT has not shown significant support. At high prices, market transactions are relatively weak, exerting some downward pressure on prices.
4. Positional Space Reference
1,4-butane diol 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices are all in the 5th tier (high, within the top 20% range of the cycle), with limited room for increase, and there is some downward pressure subsequently.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
