October 16th, according to reports
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of 2026-10-15 | Value as of 2026-10-14 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | -30.00 | -15.00 | - |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | -10.00 | -5.00 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | -1.25 | 2.50 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
Clearly identify a downtrend signal
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current melamine price trend in China is clearly declining. The reason is that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day average differences from the previous day are completely consistent, and all three are negative, meeting the criteria for a clear decline according to the average difference method.
4. Positional Space Reference
Melamine prices in a 1-year cycle in China are at the 2nd level (lower-middle) out of 5 levels, with limited long-term downward potential; prices in a 60-day cycle are at the 4th level (upper-middle) out of 5 levels, and there is still some short-term pressure for a pullback.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
