As of October 15, 2026, the spot price of acetic acid in multiple regions of China has continuously declined. The upstream raw material methanol market is falling, and the downstream demand is weak. The sentiment among industry players is generally bearish. Using the average difference method to quantitatively determine, the current acetic acid price is in a clear downward trend, and with prices at high levels over multiple periods, the upside potential is limited.
I. Data Source Description
The latest available data is up to October 15, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Difference Analysis
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value on 2026.10.15 | Value on 2026.10.14 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | -40.00 | 0.00 | - |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | -3.00 | 3.00 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 35.83 | 50.17 | - |
2. Signal Status Determination
Clearly identify a downtrend signal
3. Conclusion on Trend Directions
The current trend in acetic acid prices in China is clearly declining. Reason: The changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day averages compared to the previous day are all in the same negative direction, which meets the criteria of the average difference method for identifying a clear downward trend.
III. Price Position and Reference for Upside and Downside Potential
Acetic acid 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices are all in the 5th tier (high), with limited room for further increases. In the current downward trend, attention should be paid to the support at the previous low levels.
IV. Latest Developments in the Spot Market
1、October 15 Regional Market Trends in China
- South China: Factory price is around 4,700 CNY/ton for self-pickup, with a price decrease of 50 CNY/ton. Upstream methanol has weakened, and downstream purchasing enthusiasm is low. Traders are experiencing poor sales, and market sentiment is bearish, leading to weak market conditions.
- Shandong region: The market price is around 4660 CNY/ton, with a decrease of 50 CNY/ton. Upstream methanol prices have fallen, and downstream demand is moderate. Traders are experiencing poor sales, and market sentiment is bearish, leading to weak market conditions. The bulk water acetic acid price from Shandong Hualu Hengsheng is 4800 CNY/ton, down by 50 CNY/ton.
- Zhejiang region: The price is around 4725 CNY/ton for self-pickup, with a decrease of 75 CNY/ton. Upstream methanol prices have fallen, and downstream purchasing sentiment has weakened. Traders are having difficulty selling, and market participants have a bearish outlook, leading to a weak downward trend in the market.
2、Industry Chain Reference
The upstream core products are carbon monoxide and methanol; the downstream portfolio encompasses a wide range of categories, including dipropylene glycol methyl ether acetate, vinyl acetate, various acetate esters, PTA, and more. Currently, downstream purchasing is predominantly driven by demand‑driven procurement, with insufficient demand support.
Five, 1 Year Price Trend Chart
Six, Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
