August 6th, according to news:
According to the SpotCom AI assistant, the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages of urea prices in China are all trending negative, indicating a clear short-term downward trend with a direct downward driving force. In terms of price cycles, the 60-day and 3-month cycles are at the first low level, with limited further downward space; the 1-year cycle is at the third mid-level, indicating that there is still room for volatility in the medium term.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Indicator | (2026.08.05) | (2026.08.04) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -12.25 | -3.74 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -5.25 | -4.25 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -5.25 | -3.88 | - |
II. Signal Status Determination
Clearly declining
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
Clear downward trend. Reason: The daily changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages all point downward, and the directions of these three moving averages are completely consistent, meeting the criteria for a clear downward trend. At the same time, considering market dynamics, the short-term market is currently driven directly toward a decline.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
Over a 60-day and 3-month period, prices are in the first tier (low level), with limited downside potential. Over a 1-year period, prices are in the third tier (mid-level), leaving room for moderate volatility in the medium term.
V. Trend Chart Display
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
