August 20 news
The latest data shows that the short-term average difference indicator for urea exhibits strong rebound and bullish fluctuation characteristics. The prices for 60-day and 3-month periods are at low levels, with limited room for further decline. The 1-year period is at a mid-level, indicating some potential for a rebound. Subsequent attention should be paid to the price changes of upstream raw materials such as anthracite and liquid ammonia, as well as the demand changes in downstream compound fertilizers and agricultural products, which may impact the market trend.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Indicator | (2026.08.19) | (2026.08.18) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -1.375 | -2.25 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -9.00 | -13.38 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -19.63 | -17.50 | - |
II. Signal Status Determination
The current mean difference change direction combination is (+, +, -), which belongs to a strong rebound (bullish, rebound nature) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The price trend is oscillating. Reason: The change directions of the three averages (5-day, 10-day, and 20-day averages) are not completely consistent with the previous day. Among them, the 5-day and 10-day averages show a positive correction, while the 20-day average continues to show a negative change, meeting the criteria for an oscillating market. Currently, it exhibits strong rebound characteristics, favoring a more bullish oscillation.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
Urea prices in 60-day and 3-month cycles are at low levels, with limited room for decline; prices in the 1-year cycle are at a moderate level, providing some space for a rebound.
Five, Display of Trend Chart
Six, Reference of Upstream and Downstream of the Industry Chain in China
Upstream related products: anthracite, liquid ammonia, liquefied natural gas
Downstream related products: sodium bromide, tert-butylamine, propylene carbonate, aminosulfonic acid, late indica rice, early indica rice, compound fertilizer, guanidine, urea-formaldehyde resins, barbituric acid, diacetylurea, acetylurea, trithiobiuret, biuret, melamine, wheat, corn
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
