August 14th, according to reports
According to the daily market report on cis-1,3-butadiene rubber released on the 13th, recent market conditions have been bolstered by a confluence of positive factors. Major manufacturers such as Sinopec and PetroChina Northeast have raised their factory prices. Meanwhile, Taiwan Rubber’s Ube plant is expected to undergo maintenance at the end of the month. Coupled with the year-on-year decline in rubber import volumes in July, these factors are sending a clear signal of price increases, making price trends worth close attention.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-13) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-12) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Average Difference (D5) | 62 | 31 | + |
| 10-Day Average Difference (D10) | 52 | 46 | + |
| 20-Day Average Difference (D20) | -55.5 | -95 | + |
II. Signal Status Determination
Three differences all show a positive increase (+) compared to the previous day, indicating a clear upward trend.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The price trend is clearly upward. The reasons are as follows: First, the moving average difference indicator shows that the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages all posted positive growth compared to the previous day, meeting the criteria for a clear upward trend under the moving average difference method. Second, fundamental support is robust: on August 12, Sinopec and PetroChina Northeast raised their butadiene rubber factory prices by 200 CNY per ton; the Taisho Rubber Ube (Nantong) plant is scheduled to shut down for maintenance at the end of August. Additionally, China's imports of natural and synthetic rubber in July 2026 fell by 8.5% year-on-year. These multiple favorable factors are jointly driving prices higher.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
1 year cycle price is in the mid-range, with both upward and downward potential, and there are no obvious restrictions for now; the 60-day cycle is at a relatively high level, and attention should be paid to the upper resistance for short-term increases; the 3-month cycle is at a relatively low level, and there is still a certain foundation for medium-term increases.
Five, Trend Chart Display
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
