August 18 news
On August 17, 2026, the price trend of epichlorohydrin in China showed a clear downward trend. The differences in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day cycles compared to the previous day were all negative, fully meeting the criteria for a clear downward trend as defined by the average difference method; however, from the perspective of price positions across multiple cycles, the annual and 3-month cycles were at low levels, while the 60-day cycle was at a medium-low level. Overall, the prices were in a low range, with relatively limited space for further short-term declines, exhibiting characteristics of "trend decline, with limited price decrease."
I. Data on changes in mean differences
This statistic selects the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day core cycle mean difference data, comparing the changes from yesterday's values to clearly show the short-term price fluctuation momentum changes. The specific data are as follows:
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-17) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-16) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -60.00 | -40.00 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -180.00 | -160.00 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -110.00 | -70.00 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
The current price signal status for epichlorohydrin is: clearly declining.
Three, Conclusions on Trend Directions
The current price of epichlorohydrin in China is showing a clear downward trend. The basis for this judgment is: the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day core cycles compared to the previous day are all negative. The trend signals of these three cycles are completely synchronized, strictly conforming to the official rule in the mean difference method that "when the change directions of the three mean differences are completely consistent and all negative, it is considered a clear downward trend." The short-term momentum for price decline continues to be released.
IV. Price Position and Spatial Reference
From a comprehensive analysis of multi-period price positioning, the current price of epichlorohydrin has strong bottom support, and the downward space is narrowing. Among them, the 1-year long-term cycle price is in a low range, the 3-month medium-term price is also at a low level, and the 60-day short-to-medium term price is in a medium to low range; under the resonance of multiple cycles, the overall price of the product is already in a relatively low area, and the space for further significant decline is very limited.
5. Trend Chart Display
VI. Risk Warning
This report's analysis is based solely on publicly available data and quantitative models for reference only and does not constitute any investment or trading advice.
