September 16th, news:
This issue's PVC spot price, based on the average difference method, is judged to be in a clear downward trend. In the short term, the 60-day cycle price is at a medium-high level and still has room for decline. In the long term, the 1-year cycle is at a medium-low level with limited room for further decline. Recently, the spot market in China has been weak, and dealers' quotations have become more flexible, with a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market.
Data Explanation
The latest available PVC-related data for China is up to September 15, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
Average Difference Variation Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value on 2026.09.15 | Value on 2026.09.14 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | -93.4 | -72.4 | - |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | -24.5 | 0.5 | - |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 136.3 | 162.8 | - |
Signal Status Judgment
The current situation is a clear signal of decline.
Trend Direction Conclusion
The current price trend for PVC is clearly downward. Reason: The 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages all showed negative changes compared to the previous day, and their directions of change were completely consistent, meeting the criteria for identifying a clear downward trend under the moving average difference method.
Location spatial reference
PVC price tiers by cycle are as follows:
60-day cycle, 3-month cycle: at a medium-high level (4th tier), with some room for short-term decline;
1 year cycle: at a medium-low level (2nd tier), with limited long-term downside potential.
Trend chart display
Latest Market Trends
Chinese regional market: In early September, the spot market for PVC saw a decline from its high levels. On September 10, the PVC market in Zibo stabilized after a period of increase, with dealers' quotations dropping by 10-30 CNY/ton compared to the previous day, and transactions were sparse. On September 11, the spot price of PVC in Linyi followed the futures market's decline, with dealers' quotations falling by 30-50 CNY/ton. The market was characterized by a strong wait-and-see sentiment, with the mainstream quotation range for calcium carbide method 5-type material being 4920-5000 CNY/ton.
Overseas Markets: On September 11, 2026, Asian PVC prices saw localized increases. CFR China PVC remained unchanged at USD 840 per ton, while CFR Southeast Asia PVC rose by USD 30 per ton to USD 790 per ton, and CFR India PVC increased by USD 30 per ton to USD 880 per ton.
Industry Chain Reference: The core upstream raw materials for PVC include calcium carbide, ethylene, vinyl chloride, and chlorine gas. Downstream applications of PVC primarily encompass PVC profiles, PVC pipes, PVC films, wires and cables, and artificial leather, among other fields.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
