Key Takeaway: In the short term, MTBE is in a bearish‑biased rebound phase. Chinese producers are relatively firm on pricing, but weakening international markets and declining exports are weighing on the market. Prices across all timeframes remain at elevated levels, leaving limited room for further near-term gains.
The latest available MTBE price data in China is up to September 22, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026.09.22 | Value on 2026.09.21 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 43.50 | 45.00 | - |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | -10.50 | -30.00 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 167.56 | 205.93 | - |
2. Signal Status Determination
When the three successive divided differences change in the sequence (-, +, -), it constitutes a pullback (bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current MTBE price trend is oscillating (with a bearish bias). The reasons are: the changes in the three averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for an oscillating trend; the bearish attribute comes from the rebound signal, coupled with the continuous decline in foreign MTBE prices and a 13.51% month-over-month decrease in China's August export volume, which puts some pressure on domestic prices. However, manufacturers in Shandong, China, have continuously raised their factory prices, and the downstream gasoline blending demand remains stable, providing support to the prices, limiting the overall price decrease.
4. Positional Space Reference
MTBE 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices are all in the 5th tier (high) out of 5 tiers, with limited short-term upside potential and some pressure for a small correction.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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