October 20th, according to reports
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of 2026-10-19 | Value as of 2026-10-18 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | -35.00 | -30.00 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | -40.00 | -32.50 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | -25.00 | -18.75 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
Three uniform differences are completely consistent and all negative, indicating a clear downward signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current melamine price in China is showing a clear downward trend in the short term. Reason: The changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day are completely consistent, and all three moving averages are negative, meeting the criteria for a clear downward trend. Additionally, recent factory prices in Shandong, Xinjiang, Hubei, Shaanxi, and other regions have been continuously decreasing, further confirming the weak short-term trend.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
Melamine 1-year cycle price is in the 1st tier out of 5 (low position), with limited room for decline; the 60-day cycle is in the middle to low position, and the 3-month cycle is in the middle position.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
