This report provides a professional analysis of the short-term price trend for isooctanol spot prices, based on the mean‑difference method. Currently, isooctanol prices are at multi‑timeframe highs—60 days, 3 months, and 1 year—and the mean‑difference indicator suggests a mild, bearish corrective phase in the near term, with no clear directional upward momentum and limited upside potential. Market participants are advised to closely monitor upstream propylene supply fluctuations and the release of downstream demand for end‑use products such as DOP.
I. Table of Finite Differences
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value on October 21, 2026 | Value on October 20, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | 26.67 | 40 | - |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | 46.66 | 70 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 231.67 | 224.17 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
When the three consecutive divided differences change in the sequence (–, –, +), the corresponding signal is a mild pullback (bearish, of a corrective nature).
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The short-term price trend is range-bound. Reason: The three moving averages show inconsistent directional changes compared to the previous day, failing to meet the criteria for a clear uptrend or downtrend; thus, the market is trading within a consolidation range. The signal indicates a mild, bearish pullback.
4. Spatial Reference
The current price of 2-ethylhexanol is in the 5th tier (high) for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods. The upside is limited, and if there is no significant positive support from downstream demand, there is room for further price decline.
V. Price Trend Chart
VI. Fundamental Reference
Supply side: On October 19, 2026, the 140,000-ton annual production isooctanol unit of Shandong Lihuayi Group in China was operating stably. The factory's quotation for the day was increased by 200 CNY/ton to 9,600 CNY/ton, with the overall supply of spot goods being relatively tight.
Industry chain: Upstream raw material is propylene, which has been trading on the stronger side recently, providing robust cost support; downstream applications span a range of plasticizer products, including DOP, DOTP, and iso-octyl acrylate. Currently, downstream operating rates remain low, with insufficient demand momentum.
VII. Risk Warning
The latest available data is up to October 21, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data. The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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